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Thread: Title Race - Expected Points

  1. #121  
    Daymo68 is online now One Post At A Time
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    Quote Originally Posted by Darrren1 View Post
    Ha ha I just checked and I was right.





    I went for 4-2 Liverpool.


    And you're trying to claim I'm unrealistic?

    Brilliant.

    .
    I'm back and so happy to answer this.

    Now you pick one result I predicted incorrect.

    Now post your predictions wgich have been 90% incorrect since the start of the year.

    My prediction far out weigh yours

    As I've said predicting Liverpool to win the title when we are winning isn't a hard thing to do and in that thread you can see I was well ahead of you in this prediction that we wouldn't.



    You just predict Liverpool to never lose and that as deluded as it gets.

    As for me being happy we lose far from it and we won't lose tomorrow and I'm there....are you?
    Last edited by LordJamieOfCarragher; 11-3-17 at 11:58.
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  2. #122  
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daymo68 View Post
    I'm back and so happy to answer this.

    Now you pick one result I predicted incorrect.

    Now post your predictions wgich have been 90% incorrect since the start of the year.

    My prediction far out weigh yours Mr Table boy.

    As I've said predicting Liverpool to win the title when we are winning isn't a hard thing to do and in that thread you can see I was well ahead of you in this prediction that we wouldn't.

    I may be older but there's only one deluded person in this and your overall predictions are that very much.

    You just predict Liverpool to never lose and that as deluded as it gets.

    As for me being happy we lose far from it and we won't lose tomorrow and I'm there....are you?
    Seriously? You're still going on about this?

    I've never seen someone reacting so badly to my suggestion (which was half in jest) that we might win all our remaining games and come 2nd.

    For some reason that made you explode with so much rage that you got banned, and now you're back for more.

    How funny.

    And I have actually predicted us to lose before on more than 1 occasion. So that's something else you're wrong about.
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  3. #123  
    LordJamieOfCarragher is online now LFC Forums Moderator
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    Ok, you've both had your say, can we move it on now please, thanks.
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  4. #124  
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    Quote Originally Posted by LordJamieOfCarragher View Post
    Ok, you've both had your say, can we move it on now please, thanks.
    Fine by me - I'd moved on days ago.
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  5. #125  
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    Updated...





    LIVERPOOL


    NO.
    MATCH
    EXPECTED PTS
    29
    Man.City (a)
    0.97
    30
    Everton (h)
    1.96
    31
    Bournemouth (h)
    2.33
    32
    Stoke (a)
    1.83
    33
    West Brom (a)
    1.86
    34
    C.Palace (h)
    2.40
    35
    Watford (a)
    2.01
    36
    Southampton (h)
    2.19
    37
    West Ham (a)
    1.96
    38
    Middlesbrough (h)
    2.43

    TOTAL: ........... 19.94 ............

    CURRENT POINTS: .............. 55 ...............

    EXPECTED POINTS: ........... 74.94 ............







    SUMMARY

    TEAM
    EXPECTED PTS
    Chelsea
    88.81
    Man.City 77.93
    Tottenham
    77.85
    Liverpool 74.94
    Arsenal 73.58
    Man.Utd 71.73




    A win at City would be massive - putting us up to 77 and slightly above City themselves.


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  6. #126  
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    I just can't see Arsenal getting 70 points, I think they will finish 6th. If we can keep our heads and get 2 positive results either side of the International break, that would put us in an incredibly strong position.

    I think having to play catch-up games will have an affect on our competitors too...
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  7. #127  
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    Wonder how the weekends results affect things now?
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  8. #128  
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    What title race is this?
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  9. #129  
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    Quote Originally Posted by KnottybackSte View Post
    Wonder how the weekends results affect things now?
    Top 4 per Skybet:

    Chelsea: N/A
    Spurs: 1/12
    City: 1/5
    LFC: 4/11
    Mancs: 6/4
    Arsenal: 11/4
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  10. #130  
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    Quote Originally Posted by Alon1 View Post
    What title race is this?
    Title 'race' is over.
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  11. #131  
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    Quote Originally Posted by NY Mike View Post
    Top 4 per Skybet:

    Chelsea: N/A
    Spurs: 1/12
    City: 1/5
    LFC: 4/11
    Mancs: 6/4
    Arsenal: 11/4
    Was probably thinking more of top 4, prior to the weekend I thought Arsenal would not get 70 points...I also think we will finish at least 4th.
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  12. #132  
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    Quote Originally Posted by NY Mike View Post
    Top 4 per Skybet:

    Chelsea: N/A
    Spurs: 1/12
    City: 1/5
    LFC: 4/11
    Mancs: 6/4
    Arsenal: 11/4
    Decent.
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  13. #133  
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    Quote Originally Posted by Batteries View Post
    Decent.
    Nah, 6th finish for me...64-66 points.
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  14. #134  
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    If we don't get top 4 now, we should be ashamed. The advantage we have in terms of fixtures is stupid!
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  15. #135  
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    Quote Originally Posted by Morsy View Post
    If we don't get top 4 now, we should be ashamed. The advantage we have in terms of fixtures is stupid!
    "Ashamed"

    It will be a battle, but we're right in the mix.
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  16. #136  
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    Quote Originally Posted by KnottybackSte View Post
    "Ashamed"

    It will be a battle, but we're right in the mix.
    Mate with the fixtures we have remaining and our record against the other top 5 across the season, no top 4 would be so so bad!

    Just to be clear, i think we'll finish 3rd.
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  17. #137  
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    Updated...





    LIVERPOOL


    NO.
    MATCH
    EXPECTED PTS
    30
    Everton (h)
    1.96
    31
    Bournemouth (h)
    2.33
    32
    Stoke (a)
    1.83
    33
    West Brom (a)
    1.86
    34
    C.Palace (h)
    2.40
    35
    Watford (a)
    2.01
    36
    Southampton (h)
    2.19
    37
    West Ham (a)
    1.96
    38
    Middlesbrough (h)
    2.43

    TOTAL: ........... 18.97 ............

    CURRENT POINTS: .............. 56 ...............

    EXPECTED POINTS: ........... 74.97 ............








    MAN.CITY


    NO.
    MATCH
    EXPECTED PTS
    29
    Man.Utd (h) 1.57
    30 Arsenal (a) 1.42
    31
    Chelsea (a) 1.16
    32
    Hull (h) 2.55
    33
    Southampton (a) 1.94
    34
    West Brom (h) 2.36
    35
    Middlesbrough (a) 2.18
    36
    C.Palace (h)
    2.56
    37
    Leicester (h) 2.48
    38
    Watford (a) 2.22

    TOTAL: ........... 20.44 ............

    CURRENT POINTS: .............. 57 ...............

    EXPECTED POINTS: ........... 77.44 ............









    MAN.UTD


    NO.
    MATCH
    EXPECTED PTS
    28
    Man.City (a) 1.15
    29
    Southampton (a)
    1.85
    30
    West Brom (h)
    2.38
    31
    Everton (h) 2.09
    32
    Sunderland (a) 2.26
    33
    Chelsea (h) 1.52
    34
    Burnley (a)
    1.97
    35
    Swansea (h)
    2.46
    36
    Arsenal (a) 1.24
    37
    Tottenham (a)
    1.21
    38
    C.Palace (h)
    2.55

    TOTAL: ........... 20.68 ............

    CURRENT POINTS: .............. 52 ...............

    EXPECTED POINTS: ........... 72.68 ............








    TOTTENHAM


    NO.
    MATCH
    EXPECTED PTS
    29
    C.Palace (a) 2.03
    30
    Burnley (a)
    1.95
    31
    Swansea (a)
    1.97
    32
    Watford (h) 2.40
    33
    Bournemouth (h)
    2.42
    34
    Leicester (a)
    1.88
    35
    Arsenal (h)
    1.49
    36
    West Ham (a) 1.95
    37
    Man.Utd (h)
    1.51
    38
    Hull (a)
    2.10

    TOTAL: ........... 19.70 ............

    CURRENT POINTS: .............. 59 ...............

    EXPECTED POINTS: ........... 78.70 ............



    .
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  18. #138  
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    ARSENAL


    NO.
    MATCH
    EXPECTED PTS
    28
    Southampton (a)
    1.66
    29
    Leicester (h)
    2.28
    30
    Man.City (h) 1.30
    31
    West Ham (h) 2.31
    32
    C.Palace (a) 2.00
    33
    Middlesbrough (a) 2.05
    34
    Sunderland (h) 2.50
    35
    Tottenham (a) 1.22
    36
    Man.Utd (h)
    1.48
    37
    Stoke (a) 1.94
    38
    Everton (h) 1.92

    TOTAL: ........... 20.66 ............

    CURRENT POINTS: .............. 50 ...............

    EXPECTED POINTS: ........... 70.66 ............








    CHELSEA


    NO.
    MATCH
    EXPECTED PTS
    29
    Watford (h)
    2.50
    30
    C.Palace (h) 2.52
    31
    Man.City (h) 1.56
    32
    Bournemouth (a) 2.14
    33
    Man.Utd (a) 1.20
    34
    Southampton (h) 2.33
    35
    Everton (a) 1.54
    36
    Middlesbrough (h) 2.57
    37
    West Brom (a) 1.97
    38
    Sunderland (h)
    2.38

    TOTAL: ........... 20.71 ............

    CURRENT POINTS: .............. 69 ...............

    EXPECTED POINTS: ........... 89.71 ............








    SUMMARY

    TEAM
    EXPECTED PTS
    Chelsea
    89.71
    Tottenham
    78.70
    Man.City
    77.44
    Liverpool 74.97
    Man.Utd 72.68
    Arsenal 70.66




    .
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  19. #139  
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    Hope the last prediction sticks.
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  20. #140  
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    Updated...





    LIVERPOOL


    NO.
    MATCH
    EXPECTED PTS
    31
    Bournemouth (h)
    2.33
    32
    Stoke (a)
    1.87
    33
    West Brom (a)
    1.86
    34
    C.Palace (h)
    2.35
    35
    Watford (a)
    2.01
    36
    Southampton (h)
    2.19
    37
    West Ham (a)
    1.97
    38
    Middlesbrough (h)
    2.45

    TOTAL: ........... 17.03 ............

    CURRENT POINTS: .............. 59 ...............

    EXPECTED POINTS: ........... 76.03 ............








    MAN.UTD


    NO.
    MATCH
    EXPECTED PTS
    29
    Everton (h) 2.09
    30
    Sunderland (a) 2.26
    31
    Chelsea (h) 1.47
    32
    Burnley (a)
    1.97
    33 Man.City (a) 1.15
    34
    Swansea (h)
    2.46
    35
    Arsenal (a) 1.24
    36
    Tottenham (a)
    1.21
    37 Southampton (a) 1.85
    38
    C.Palace (h)
    2.55

    TOTAL: ........... 18.25 ............

    CURRENT POINTS: .............. 53 ...............

    EXPECTED POINTS: ........... 71.25 ............








    TOTTENHAM


    NO.
    MATCH
    EXPECTED PTS
    30
    Swansea (a)
    1.97
    31
    Watford (h) 2.40
    32
    Bournemouth (h)
    2.42
    33 C.Palace (a) 2.01
    34
    Arsenal (h)
    1.52
    35
    West Ham (a) 1.96
    36
    Man.Utd (h)
    1.51
    37 Leicester (a) 1.88
    38
    Hull (a)
    2.10

    TOTAL: ........... 17.77 ............

    CURRENT POINTS: .............. 62 ...............

    EXPECTED POINTS: ........... 79.77 ............



    .
    Last edited by Darrren1; 3-4-17 at 06:09.
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  21. #141  
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    Thanks for keeping these updated @Darrren1. The latest stats just go to show how much can change in a short time. Things are looking better – although there may well be another twist or two to come yet. Talking of twists, let’s hope Sadio’s knee doesn’t keep him out for long - or that Divock can step up if the opportunity presents.
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  22. #142  
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    Quote Originally Posted by An LFC fan View Post
    Thanks for keeping these updated @Darrren1. The latest stats just go to show how much can change in a short time. Things are looking better – although there may well be another twist or two to come yet. Talking of twists, let’s hope Sadio’s knee doesn’t keep him out for long - or that Divock can step up if the opportunity presents.
    Yeah, it's nice to see that for once it's other teams that have to play catch-up while we're actually in a pretty decent position.
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  23. #143  
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    MAN.CITY


    NO.
    MATCH
    EXPECTED PTS
    30
    Chelsea (a) 1.18
    31
    Hull (h) 2.55
    32
    Southampton (a) 1.94
    33 Man.Utd (h) 1.57
    34
    Middlesbrough (a) 2.18
    35
    C.Palace (h)
    2.53
    36
    Leicester (h) 2.46
    37 West Brom (h) 2.36
    38
    Watford (a) 2.22

    TOTAL: ........... 18.99 ............

    CURRENT POINTS: .............. 58 ...............

    EXPECTED POINTS: ........... 76.99 ............








    ARSENAL


    NO.
    MATCH
    EXPECTED PTS
    29 West Ham (h) 2.28
    30
    C.Palace (a) 1.90
    31
    Middlesbrough (a) 2.05
    32 Leicester (h) 2.21
    33
    Tottenham (a) 1.20
    34 Southampton (a) 1.66
    35
    Man.Utd (h)
    1.48
    36
    Stoke (a) 1.94
    37 Sunderland (h) 2.50
    38
    Everton (h) 1.92

    TOTAL: ........... 19.14 ............

    CURRENT POINTS: .............. 51 ...............

    EXPECTED POINTS: ........... 70.14 ............








    CHELSEA


    NO.
    MATCH
    EXPECTED PTS
    30
    Man.City (h) 1.54
    31
    Bournemouth (a) 2.14
    32
    Man.Utd (a) 1.25
    33
    Southampton (h) 2.33
    34
    Everton (a) 1.54
    35
    Middlesbrough (h) 2.57
    36
    West Brom (a) 1.97
    37 Watford (h) 2.50
    38
    Sunderland (h)
    2.38

    TOTAL: ........... 18.22 ............

    CURRENT POINTS: .............. 69 ...............

    EXPECTED POINTS: ........... 87.22 ............








    SUMMARY

    TEAM
    EXPECTED PTS
    Chelsea
    87.22
    Tottenham
    79.77
    Man.City
    76.99
    Liverpool 76.03
    Man.Utd 71.25
    Arsenal 70.14




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  24. #144  
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    If we win on Wednesday and City only draw at Chelsea, our expected points will be almost identical to City's.

    And obviously if we win and they lose, then our EP will go above theirs.
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  25. #145  
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    I am expecting us to get a minimum 76 points. I think that would be enough to guarantee 4th place. I suppose a lot now depends on our injury situation getting better and Mane not being out for any length of time
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  26. #146  
    LovelyCushionedHeader is online now Academy prospect
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    I'm sure there have been many, but I can't remember a season which ends with as may "top of the table clashes". It seems like our rivals are playing every week from last weekend til the end of the season.
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  27. #147  
    BearWithMe is online now First team regular
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    That was a HUGE weekend in the race for top 4, HUGE and we came out on top. Basically 4th place is ours to blow now.
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  28. #148  
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    Quote Originally Posted by BearWithMe View Post
    That was a HUGE weekend in the race for top 4, HUGE and we came out on top. Basically 4th place is ours to blow now.
    Yep.

    No excuses now.

    It's in our own hands and we have the best set of remaining fixtures. Let's hope the players don't find a way to bottle it.
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  29. #149  
    LovelyCushionedHeader is online now Academy prospect
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    Quote Originally Posted by BearWithMe View Post
    That was a HUGE weekend in the race for top 4, HUGE and we came out on top. Basically 4th place is ours to blow now.
    Hmm, the gap looks much bigger than what could be though.
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  30. #150  
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    Quote Originally Posted by lonewolf kal View Post
    true. im just hoping that they finally get a decent injury blip to key players, would make a change.
    Without wishing ill-will on anyone we'd need that to happen to stand any chance of catching. I can only see them dropping possible points to the Manchester clubs and maybe WBA away, or Everton at Goodison.
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