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TITLE RACE - EXPECTED POINTS

This is a look at the expected points for each team in the title race, based on their chances of winning, drawing and losing each match.

These are not predictions - they're probability expectations from an odds compiler's point of view, having priced up every match.

LIVERPOOL

NO.

MATCH

EXPECTED PTS

22

Swansea (h)

2.54

23

Chelsea (h)

1.48

24

Hull (a)

2.3125

Tottenham (h)

1.7126

Leicester (a)

2.0127

Arsenal (h)

1.6828

Burnley (h)

2.5229

Man.City (a)

1.0930

Everton (h)

2.0931

Bournemouth (h)

2.3332

Stoke (a)

1.9833

West Brom (a)

1.9134

C.Palace (h)

2.4935

Watford (a)

2.1336

Southampton (h)

2.2237

West Ham (a)

2.0638

Middlesbrough (h)

2.52

TOTAL: ........... 35.07 ............

CURRENT POINTS: .............. 45 ...............

EXPECTED POINTS: ........... 80.07 ............

CHELSEA

NO.

MATCH

EXPECTED PTS

22

Hull (h)

2.61

23

Liverpool (a)

1.2424

Arsenal (h)

1.7125

Burnley (a)

2.0526

Swansea (h)

2.5727

West Ham (a)2.0428

Watford (h)

2.4729

Stoke (a)2.0030

C.Palace (h)2.5031

Man.City (h)1.7432

Bournemouth (a)2.0233

Man.Utd (a)1.2634

Southampton (h)2.2435

Everton (a)1.6936

Middlesbrough (h)2.5337

West Brom (a)1.9738

Sunderland (h)

2.38

TOTAL: ........... 35.02 ............

CURRENT POINTS: .............. 52 ...............

EXPECTED POINTS: ........... 87.02 ............

Others to follow...